The Champion Course at PGA National has been the host course for this event since 2007, providing plenty of data points heading into the 2022 Honda Classic. Many courses on tour have been adding yardage to compensate for long-ball hitters, but PGA National has lowered its yardage in recent years. There is water in play on 15 holes at PGA National, leading to the highest rate of double bogeys or worse of any course on the PGA Tour. Which golfers can you trust to avoid crooked numbers this weekend?
Rickie Fowler won this event in 2017 and finished in a tie for second place in 2019. However, Fowler is a 66-1 long shot in the latest 2022 Honda Classic odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Should Fowler be included in your 2022 Honda Classic bets, or should you look elsewhere on the PGA odds board for value? Before locking in your 2022 Honda Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it's up almost $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Honda Classic 2022 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2022 Honda Classic leaderboard.
The model's top 2022 Honda Classic predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2022 Honda Classic: Im, a two-time champion on the PGA Tour and the top favorite, stumbles and barely cracks the top-five. The 23-year-old has already secured a victory this season, finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Shriners Children's Open in October. He's also finished T-11 or better five times in 2021-22.
However, Im has struggled mightily with his putter this season, ranking 132nd in one-putt percentage (38.73), 121st in 3-putt avoidance (2.78) and 98th in total putting (220.4). In addition, Im has finished T-33 or worse in two of his last four starts on the PGA Tour, which doesn't bode well for his chances to win this week. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Honda Classic 2022 field.
Another surprise: Shane Lowry, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Lowry finished inside the top 20 on tour in strokes gained: around the green and strokes gained: tee to green last season. He has been able to navigate tough courses in the past, which led to a win at the 2019 Open Championship. None of the top 10 players in the world are making the trip to Florida for this event, providing a great opportunity for golfers such as Lowry.
He posted several notable finishes last season, coming in fourth place at the PGA Championship and in eighth place at the Players Championship. Those impressive results, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick at the 2022 Honda Classic.
How to make 2022 Honda Classic picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or higher who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.
So who will win the Honda Classic 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Honda Classic leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $9,500 since the restart.
2022 Honda Classic odds
Sungjae Im +1400Daniel Berger +1600Joaquin Niemann +1800Brooks Koepka +2000Louis Oosthuizen +2000Tommy Fleetwood +2200Billy Horschel +2200Shane Lowry +2500Matthew Wolff +3300Keith Mitchell +3300Matt Jones +3300Alex Noren +3500Mito Pereira +4000Brian Harman +4000Patrick Reed +4000Cameron Young +4500Denny McCarthy +5000Taylor Moore +5000Kyoung-Hoon Lee +5000Mackenzie Hughes +5000Jhonattan Vegas +5000Gary Woodland +5000Aaron Wise +5000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000Nicolai Hojgaard +5000Russell Knox +5500Ryan Palmer +6000C.T. Pan +6000Lee Westwood +6600Ian Poulter +6600Lucas Glover +6600Chris Kirk +6600Martin Kaymer +6600Rickie Fowler +6600Brendan Steele +8000Aaron Rai +8000Zach Johnson +8000Lucas Herbert +8000Charles Howell +8000Michael Thompson +8000Brendon Todd +8000Taylor Pendrith +9000Sam Ryder +9000Dylan Frittelli +10000Greyson Sigg +10000Kevin Streelman +10000Hudson Swafford +10000Adam Svensson +10000Stewart Cink +10000Sepp Straka +10000Garrick Higgo +10000Nick Taylor +10000Beau Hossler +10000Padraig Harrington +12500Charl Schwartzel +12500Camilo Villegas +12500Matthew NeSmith +12500Mark Hubbard +12500Henrik Stenson +12500Patrick Rodgers +12500Davis Riley +12500Harry Higgs +12500Chad Ramey +12500Matthias Schwab +12500Alex Smalley +12500Satoshi Kodaira +15000Adam Schenk +15000Lee Hodges +15000Hayden Buckley +15000J.T. Poston +15000Doug Ghim +15000Kramer Hickok +15000Doc Redman +15000J.J. Spaun +15000John Huh +15000Rory Sabbatini +15000Nate Lashley +15000Danny Willett +15000Vincent Whaley +17500Stephan Jaeger +20000Nick Hardy +20000Brandon Hagy +20000Sung-Hoon Kang +20000Austin Smotherman +20000Ryan Armour +20000Robert Streb +20000Trey Mullinax +20000Kyle Stanley +20000David Lipsky +20000Hank Lebioda +20000Kiradech Aphibarnrat +25000Brian Gay +25000Roger Sloan +25000Peter Uihlein +25000Andrew Novak +25000Tyler Duncan +25000Dylan Wu +25000Brian Stuard +25000Jason Dufner +25000Jimmy Walker +25000Brice Garnett +25000Kevin Tway +30000Nick Watney +30000Anirban Lahiri +30000Luke Donald +30000Austin Cook +30000Wesley Bryan +30000Paul Barjon +30000Bill Haas +30000Brandon Wu +30000Justin Lower +30000Bronson Burgoon +30000Jared Wolfe +30000Tyler McCumber +30000